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- How to Use Our Long-Term Trade Alerts (Complete Guide)
How to Use Our Long-Term Trade Alerts (Complete Guide)
How We Caught a 500% Winner
Hey there,
Today, I want to show you exactly how to use our long-term trade recommendations. I'll use AppFolio (APP) as an example—one of our biggest winners that's up over 500%.
(That means a $10,000 investment would be worth $60,000 today!)
Let me break down how we spotted it and, more importantly, how we rode it to massive gains.
Understanding the Four Market Stages
First, let's understand why our alerts work. Every stock MUST be in one of these four stages:
Stage 1: Basing (where we alert you to buy)
Stage 2: Advancing (where we make our money)
Stage 3: Topping (where we start to get cautious)
Stage 4: Declining (where we stay away)
Our long-term alerts focus on finding stocks transitioning from Stage 1 to Stage 2. This is where the biggest moves happen.

Stock market stages
How Our Long-Term Recommendations Work
When we send you a long-term trade alert, we're typically spotting a "Base 1" pattern:
A massive 16+ week consolidation
Multiple tests of the 30-week moving average
Signs of institutional accumulation
A strong company showing potential for huge growth

APP Daily Chart
Two Ways to Trade Our Alerts
Let me show you how subscribers traded APP:
Approach 1: Keep It Simple
Enter when we alert Base 1
Hold through Base 2
Exit when stock closes under 10-week or 30-week moving average
Example with APP:
Invested $5,000 at Base 1
Stock rose 300% into Base 2
$5,000 grew to $20,000 without any extra work
Approach 2: Add to Winners
Enter when we alert Base 1
Add more during Base 2 (after stock proves itself)
Hold until exit signal
Example with APP:
Started with $5,000 at Base 1
Added $10,000 during Base 2
Position grew even more as stock continued higher

APP Weekly Chart
Understanding Stage 2 Movement
During Stage 2 (the advancing stage), a stock will typically form multiple bases:
Base 1: The Perfect Entry
Longest consolidation (16+ weeks)
Where we love to enter
Clearest risk/reward setup
Base 2: Still Very Trustworthy
Great for adding to winners
Good for new positions if you missed Base 1
Usually shorter than Base 1
Bases 3,4,5: Proceed with Caution
Less reliable than earlier bases
Higher risk of failure
I personally prefer to be out by this point
Better to find fresh Base 1 setups in new stocks
Two Ways to Handle Profits
The Simple Approach: Use the 30-Week Moving Average
Hold your position as long as the stock stays above the 30-week moving average
Exit when it closes below this level
Pros: Clear rules, less emotion, catches bigger moves
Cons: Gives back more profits in corrections
My Preferred Method: Sell into Strength
Take profits as the stock shows excessive strength
Often sell after Base 2
Pros: Locks in profits at higher prices
Cons: Might miss additional upside
Example with APP: Those who held through the 30-week MA are still in the trade Those who sold into strength after Base 2 locked in 300%+ gains
Which Approach Should You Choose?
Both work well - it depends on your style:
Approach 1: Better for busy people who want simplicity
Approach 2: Better if you like to actively manage positions
Start Using Our Alerts Today
Want to catch the next APP? Get our long-term trade alerts and start building real wealth in the market.
Trading Success,
Valentine
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